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投资理财

比特币突破1万美元,原因何在?

Grace Donnelly 2017年11月30日

目前数字加密货币仍然是一个被炒得火热的概念,越来越多的公司都在谈论它。

比特币的币值已经升到10000美元一个了。目前它的价值已经比年初(968美元)上涨了800%还多。

要知道,现在离比特币币值突破8000美元仅仅过去了七天,离它突破7000美元甚至还不到一个月。

比特币升值的原因?

目前数字加密货币仍然是一个被炒得火热的概念,越来越多的公司都在谈论它,还有不少企业采用了这项技术。

支付处理公司Square就是一个例子。它的用户现在已经可以通过Square Cash服务买卖比特币了。虽然不少企业开始拥抱比特币背后的“区块链”技术,但BTIG分析师马克·帕尔默依然对Squre的股票给予了降级,理由是它的股值上涨得“过火了”。

比特币的火热,一方面离不开金融行业对它的使用不断增加,更重要的是公众对比特币的认知在不断提高。

Ritholtz财富管理公司的约什·布朗指出,比特币已经“正式成了一场投资者的狂欢”。

另外,IG集团的首席市场策略师克里斯·威斯顿在周一的一封致客户的信中表示,随着比特币即将于12月的第2个星期起在芝加哥交易所上市的消息传来,投资者生恐自己“错过了这一拨”,这也是导致投资者掀起另一波买入热的原因之一。

现在入手比特币是不是太晚了?

在感恩节期间,很多人在跟亲友聊天时会被问到这个话题。也有很多人认为现在入手比特币仍然为时未晚。

11月22日至24日,开设新的比特币账户的人超过了10万人。也就是说,现在比特币交易平台Coinbase的用户已经超过了嘉信理财公司的客户。Coinbase平台目前的用户总数已达1310万人。不过这两家公司还有一个比较有趣的对比:Coinbase虽然坐拥千万用户大军,但其客户资产总额却远远不及嘉信理财的3.3万亿美元。

据CNBC的数据报道,去年11月,Coinbase的用户还仅有490万人,现在已经翻了一倍还多。

现在貌似人人都在买进比特币,但你在入手之前,应该先想清楚这几件事:第一,数字货币币值的波动性是相当大的;第二,数字货币对冲基金会对你的投资收取高额的手续费;第三,比特币之所以会涨,纯粹是因为人们觉得它会继续上涨,并且成为主流的数字加密货币。

比特币会涨到多高?

威斯顿表示,新投资者的加入和近来的“疯狂势头”只会把比特币炒得更高。很多分析师都不敢断言比特币涨到何处才是个头,也不敢预测除了投资者的跟风心理,比特币的疯涨到底还将标志着什么。

涨到10000美元的比特币无非是个主观数字罢了。你不必每次当某个指数涨了几倍时,都给它戴一个新帽子,假装它很重要。

——J.C. Parets (@allstarcharts),2017年11月27日

比特币的币值仍然极不稳定。要知道比特币并不是只涨不跌的,过去几年,比特币曾经暴跌过五次,损失曾经达到80%。不过这几次暴跌也并非都是坏事,反而更让人们对这种数字货币产生了兴趣。

MBMG公司的常务董事保罗·甘博斯指出,数字加密货币本质上是一个做高了就抛的局。他还表示,目前热门的比特币和以太币都是被用户以“赚一笔就跑”的投机心态炒起来的。(财富中文网)

译者:贾政景

Bitcoin is on its way to being worth $10,000 per coin. Currently, the cryptocurrency is up 800% compared to the beginning of the year, when it was priced at $968 per coin.

This new high comes just seven days after bitcoin broke $8,000 and not even a full month since it hit the $7,000 mark.

Why is bitcoin rising?

As buzz around cryptocurrencies continues to increase, more and more companies are talking about the technology. Some organizations are even adopting it.

Square is one such case. The payments processing company now allows customers to buy and sell bitcoin through Square Cash. Even as companies start to embrace the blockchain technology that makes bitcoin possible, BTIG analyst Mark Palmer still downgraded shares, calling the company’s stock rally “overdone.”

But rather than a growing use throughout the financial sector, it seems growing public awareness of bitcoin is what’s driving the price surge.

Bitcoin is “officially an investor mania,” according to Josh Brown from Ritholtz Wealth Management.

Factors like the anticipation of the CME listing cryptocurrency futures in the second week of December and investor FOMO (fear of missing out), are driving “another frenzy of buying,” said Chris Weston, chief marketing strategist at IG Group, in a note to clients Monday.

Is it too late to buy bitcoin?

Apparently, this is what many were asking friends and family around Thanksgiving tables over the holiday weekend. And lots of people seem to have decided that no, it’s not too late.

More than 100,000 people opened new Coinbase accounts between November 22 and November 24, which means there are now more Coinbase users than Charles Schwab accounts. The total number of accounts on the platform is now around 13.1 million. But there’s an important detail to point out in the Coinbase and Charles Schwabcomparison: The cryptocurrency trading accounts are worth much less than the $3.3 trillion total client assets in the more than 10 million open Schwab accounts.

Coinbase users have more than doubled from the 4.9 million accounts open last November, according to data from CNBC.

It may seem that everybody is investing in bitcoin, but there are a few things to consider before you buy: the cryptocurrency is extremely volatile, crypto hedge funds charge serious fees to invest your money, and the value of bitcoin is only based on the assumption that it will continue to grow and become the predominant cryptocurrency.

How high will bitcoin go?

All these new investors and “mad momentum” are driving prices higher, according to Weston. It’s not clear where the ceiling is or, for many analysts, what the higher prices really signal besides a me-too trend among investors.

Bitcoin at 10,000 is just an arbitrary number. You don't need to lie to people and make a new hat every time an index ends in 3 zeros pretending it matters.

— J.C. Parets (@allstarcharts) November 27, 2017

The price of coins is still extremely volatile. Bitcoin has crashed, losing 80% of its value, on five different occasions over the last few years. But these severe dips often generate additional public interest in the cryptocurrency.

Paul Gambles, managing director of MBMG, said cryptocurrencies are essentially a pump and dump scam, adding that the prices of favorite coins like bitcoin and Ethereum are propped up by users pumping and dumping.

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